Thursday, 10 January 2019

Considering transport subsidy to states for promoting agri exports: Suresh Prabhu -The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


Contact Your Financial Adviser Money Making MC
09 January 2019
 
Agri (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


The government is considering providing transport subsidy to states for promoting agriculture exports, Commerce Minister Suresh Prabhu said Thursday. The issue of providing transport subsidy along with various other matters were discussed at the meeting of the Council for Trade Development and Promotion here, he added. Representatives from several states including that of Karnataka, Punjab, and Tamil Naduparticipated in the meeting.

 "We are considering to give transport subsidy to states. It is under active consideration to promote agriculture exports," Prabhu told reporters here. On credit issues being faced by exporters, he said, the financial services secretary would hold meeting with banks on the matter. Lending to exporters should be treated as a priority sector credit as funding to them has declined significantly in the recent past, Prabhu added.

On trade with Iran, the minister said,"we have decided that without violating any international law we would work with Iran". There was a significant progress in the trade ties between India and China, he added.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Government offers tax sops under GST to small businesses ahead of election-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


Contact Your Financial Adviser Money Making MC

http://moneymakingaimsee.blogspot.in
https://www.facebook.com/moneymakingmc
10 January 2019
GST (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

The government announced a change in the Goods and Services Tax (GST) rules on Thursday that would exempt an additional two million small businesses, in a move that could help garner support ahead of a general election that must be called by May.

“India will exempt small businesses with annual sales of up to 4 million rupees ($56,701) from paying taxes under the GST,” Finance Minister Arun Jaitley told reporters.

A finance ministry official said the decision could benefit about two million firms. Currently, firms with an annual turnover of up to 2 million rupees are exempted from registration for GST. The change will come into effect in April.

Jaitley made the announcement after a meeting of the GST Council, comprising federal and state finance ministers.
The decision comes after Prime Minister Narendra Modi said the government was planning to simplify the GST, first introduced in July 2017 with the aim of replacing more than a dozen federal and state levies.

The introduction of a national sales tax improved economic efficiency and is helping to unify India’s sprawling domestic market, but small businesses say the complexities of the new system have driven many of them out of business and forced hundreds of thousands out of a job.

($1 = 70.5450 Indian rupees)

Stocks Slip As US-China Trade Talks End; Macy's Nosedives-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


Contact Your Financial Adviser Money Making MC
10 January 2019
Financial Markets (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

A rally in global stock markets faded Thursday after U.S. and Chinese officials wrapped up three days of trade talks in Beijing without any significant breakthrough. Retailers sank after Macy's and Kohl's said sales over the holidays were worse than expected, and airlines slumped after American gave a disappointing revenue forecast.
The losses threaten to end a four-day winning streak for U.S. indexes. Oil prices also turned lower after an eight-day string of gains.
KEEPING SCORE: The S&P 500 index gave up 17 points, or 0.7 percent, to 2,567 as of 10 a.m. Eastern time. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 125 points, or 0.5 percent, to 23,753. The Nasdaq composite dropped 63 points, or 0.9 percent, to 6,893. The Russell 2000 index of smaller-company stocks fell 12 points, or 0.9 percent, to 1,426.
BLACK EYE-DAY: Macy's said holiday sales slowed in the middle of December and the department store cut its annual profit and sales forecasts. Its stock plunged 17.8 percent to $26.07 in heavy trading. Kohl's also reported weaker sales growth and it fell 9.1 percent to $63.51.
Macy's announcement came as a surprise because investor expectations for the holiday season have been high. Unemployment is the lowest it's been in decades, wages are rising and consumer confidence is high, while gas prices dropped late last year. But shoppers may have been less willing to splurge because the stock market fell dramatically in December, and shortly afterward the federal government went into a partial shutdown that is still ongoing.
Victoria's Secret maker L Brands fell 7.9 percent to $25.99 and Capri Holdings, the parent company of Michael Kors and Versace, lost 4.6 percent to $39.94 while Gap shed 4.3 percent to $24.95. Amazon lost 1.7 percent to$1,630.
STUCK ON THE RUNWAY: Airlines skidded after American said its fourth-quarter revenue growth at the low end of its projections. Delta gave a similarly disappointing forecast a week ago. American fell 9.9 percent to $30.10 while Delta lost 3.6 percent to $46.74 and United dropped 6 percent to $78.69.
U.S.-CHINA TALKS: Stock markets have jumped over the last two weeks as investors grew more hopeful that the U.S. and China will resolve the trade tensions that have been brewing over the past year. The just-concluded talks in Beijing helped the U.S. market rally for four days in a row, its longest streak since mid-September. But as those talks ended, it's not clear what the next steps will be or when they will talk next.
The U.S. Trade Representative said topics at the meeting included China's pledge to buy more energy and agricultural products and manufactured goods from the U.S. But that's a relatively minor area of disagreement. The U.S. wants China to change its technology policy to reduce cyber theft of trade secrets as well as more access to the Chinese market for non-Chinese companies and increased protection for foreign patents and copyrights. The U.S. Trade Representative gave no hint of progress on those issues.
BONDS: Bond prices rose. The yield on the 2-year Treasury note fell to 2.53 percent from 2.55 percent. The yield on the longer-term Treasury note fell to 2.70 percent from 2.72 percent.
ENERGY: Oil prices fell back after hitting their highest levels in almost a month. U.S. crude fell 0.9 percent to $51.87 a barrel in New York and Brent crude fell 0.9 percent to $60.87 a barrel in London.
OVERSEAS: Germany's DAX dipped 0.3 percent while France's CAC 40 was 0.6 percent lower. Britain's FTSE 100 slipped 0.1 percent.
Japan's Nikkei 225 index, which gained more than 1 percent on Wednesday, fell 1.3 percent and the Kospi in South Korea dropped 0.1 percent. Hong Kong's Hang Seng recovered from early losses, adding 0.2 percent.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Wednesday, 9 January 2019

Nifty, Sensex May Log in More Gains – Wednesday closing report-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


Contact Your Financial Adviser Money Making MC
09 January 2019

I had mentioned in Tuesday’s closing report that Nifty, Sensex were continuing to rise. The major indices of the Indian stock markets were range-bound on Wednesday and closed with gains over Tuesday’s close. On the NSE, there were 701 advances, 1,009 declines and 356 unchanged. The trends of the major indices in the course of Wednesday’s trading are given in the table below:


Sensex gained during Wednesday afternoon's trade session over signs of easing US-China trade tensions and expectation of healthy Q3 corporate results. The third quarter results session will start with the earning announcement of Tata Consultancy Services. The IT (information technology) major is scheduled to announce its results on Thursday. Globally, investors awaited the outcome of US-China trade talks which has been extended. Sector-wise, metal, oil and gas stocks lost over 1% but key finance and banking stocks traded in the green.

The government increased the advertisement rates for print media by 25% over the existing rates, which is expected to especially benefit small and medium newspapers. An Information and Broadcasting Ministry release said that the decision has come into force immediately and will be valid for a period of three years. "This decision has been taken based on the recommendations of the 8th Rate Structure Committee constituted by Information and Broadcasting Ministry which took into account several factors, including the increase in the price of newsprint, processing charges and other factors which go into the computation of advertisement rates," the release said. The last such revision had taken place in 2013 when an increase of 19% was made over the rates of 2010. "The decision will be of great benefit especially to the medium and small newspapers including a large number of such papers in regional and vernacular languages," the release said. It is actually a pre-election measure of the ruling government to keep the media happy.

State-owned NMDC announced a buyback of 3.23% equity shares at a price of Rs98 per stock for a consideration not exceeding Rs1,000 crore. The buyback decision was taken by the company's Board in its meeting held on Tuesday. The company's regulatory filing to the BSE said that its Board has "approved the proposal to buyback of not exceeding 10,20,40,815 equity shares at a price of Rs98 per equity share payable in cash for an aggregate consideration not exceeding Rs1,000 crore representing 4.11% of the aggregate of the fully paid-up equity share capital and free reserves." NMDC shares closed at Rs91.40, down 3.74% on the BSE.

Just a week after lowering its revenue estimate for the first quarter of fiscal 2019, Apple is cutting its current production plan for new iPhones by about 10% for the January-March quarter, the Nikkei Asian Review reported on Wednesday. Apple, being a market leader, is conservative on growth and consequently, equity analysts are conservative about capital appreciation in 2019 in the US stock market as a whole.

The top gainers and top losers of the major indices are given in the table below:


The closing values of the major Asian indices are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Major Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)




India poised to become third-largest consumer market: WEF -The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


Contact Your Financial Adviser Money Making MC
09 January 2019
 
World Economic Forum (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


India is poised to become the third-largest consumer market behind only the US and China; and consumer spending in India is expected to grow from USD 1.5 trillion at present to nearly USD 6 trillion by 2030, a World Economic Forum report said Wednesday.

According to World Economic Forum (WEF), with an annual GDP growth rate of 7.5 per cent, India is currently the world's sixth-largest economy. By 2030, domestic private consumption, which accounts for 60 per cent of the country's GDP, is expected to develop into a USD 6-trillion growth opportunity. "If realised, this would make India's consumer market the third-largest in the world, behind the US and China," the report said.

 Commenting on the report, Zara Ingilizian, Head of Consumer Industries and Member of Executive Committee, World Economic Forum, said "as India continues its path as one of the world's most dynamic consumption environments, private and public-sector leaders will have to take shared accountability to ensure such consumption is inclusive and responsible.

Notwithstanding the significant growth in consumption, critical societal challenges will need to be addressed, including skills development and employment of the future workforce, socio-economic inclusion of rural India, and creating a healthy and sustainable future for its citizens. The report titled 'Future of Consumption in Fast-Growth Consumer Market – India' noted that growth of the middle class will lift nearly 25 million households out of poverty.

As per the report, growth in income will transform India from a "bottom of the pyramid economy" to a middle class-led one. Future consumption growth will mainly come from rich and densely populated cities and the thousands of developed rural towns. "India's top 40 cities will form a USD 1.5 trillion opportunity by 2030, many thousands of small urban towns will also drive an equally large spend in aggregate.

 In parallel, there will be an opportunity to unlock nearly USD 1.2 trillion of spend in developed rural areas by improving infrastructure and providing access to organised and online retail," WEF noted. The report produced in collaboration with Bain & Company builds on consumer surveys conducted across 5,100 households in 30 cities and towns in India, and draws from more than 40 interviews with private and public-sector leaders.

"It's an exciting future for firms that wish to unlock the consumption opportunity in India," as stated by Nikhil Prasad Ojha, Partner and Leader of the Strategy practice at Bain India. To unlock the potential of these opportunities and to ensure equitable growth, the report identified three critical societal challenges that need to be addressed -- skills development and employment for the future workforce, socio-economic inclusion of rural India and healthy and sustainable future. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


India's GDP expected to grow at 7.3% in 2018-19 -The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


Contact Your Financial Adviser Money Making MC
09 January 2019
 
India (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


India's GDP is expected to grow at 7.3 per cent in the fiscal year 2018-19, and 7.5 per cent in the following two years, the World Bank has forecast, attributing it to an upswing in consumption and investment.

The bank said India will continue to be the fastest growing major economy in the world. China's economic growth is projected to slow down to 6.2 each in 2019 and 2020 and 6 per cent in 2021, according to the January 2019 Global Economic Prospects report released by the World Bank on Tuesday. In 2018, the Chinese economy is estimated to have grown by 6.5 per cent as against India's 7.3 per cent. In 2017, China with 6.9 per cent growth was marginally ahead of India's 6.7 per cent, mainly because the slowdown in the Indian economy due to demonetisation and implementation of the Goods and Services Tax (GST), the report said.

"India's growth outlook is still robust. India is still the fastest growing major economy," World Bank Prospects Group Director Ayhan Kose told PTI in an interview. "With investment picking up and consumption remaining strong, we expect India to grow 7.3 per cent in the fiscal year 2018-2019, and average 7.5 per cent in 2019 and 2020. India registered quite a bit of pick up in doing business ranking. The growth momentum is there (in India)," Kose told.

In India, the growth has accelerated, driven by an upswing in consumption, and investment growth has firmed as the effects of temporary factors wane, the World Bank said in its latest report. Domestic demand has strengthened as the benefits of structural reforms such as the Goods and Services Tax (GST) harmonisation and bank recapitalisation take effect. "India's growth accelerated to an estimated 7.3 per cent in FY2018/19 (April to March) as economic activity continued to recover with strong domestic demand.

While investment continued to strengthen amid the GST harmonisation and a rebound of credit growth, consumption remained the major contributor to growth," the World Bank said. According to the report, India's GDP is forecast to grow by 7.3 per cent in FY2018/19 and 7.5 per cent thereafter, in line with June forecasts. Private consumption is projected to remain robust and investment growth is expected to continue as the benefits of recent policy reforms begin to materialise and credit rebounds. Strong domestic demand is envisioned to widen the current account deficit to 2.6 per cent of GDP next year. Inflation is projected to rise somewhat above the midpoint of the Reserve Bank of India's target range of 2 to 6 per cent, mainly owing to energy and food prices, the bank said.

 It said in India the recent introduction of the GST and steps toward demonetisation are expected to encourage a shift from the informal to the formal sector. "India's recent growth numbers suggest that the economy remains robust despite temporary setbacks (due top demonetisation and GST)," Kose said. The World Bank's estimate suggest that India's potential growth rate is around seven per cent, and is expected to remain around seven per cent, he said in response to a question. "The fact is that Indian economy is being able to deliver growth slightly above its potential is a very good sign,” he added. Refraining from commenting on the economic performance of the Modi Government that too in an election year, the World Bank official said growth performance of India as compared to other emerging markets has been quite impressive. "India's growth performance has been quite impressive. Year after year it has delivered strong numbers around its potential growth," he said.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Sri Lanka's Central Bank gets USD 400 mn swap from RBI -The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


Contact Your Financial Adviser Money Making MC
09 January 2019
 
RBI (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


Sri Lanka's Central Bank on Wednesday said that the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has agreed to provide USD 400 million under a swap arrangement to boost the island nation's reserves. "The RBI's very rapid and timely assistance will serve to boost investor confidence by supporting Sri Lanka to maintain adequate level of external reserves while accommodating outflow related to imports, debt servicing and if necessary support for the currency to avoid disorderly adjustment," it said in a statement.

 It said that a further request to the RBI for another SWAP arrangement of USD 1 billion is "under consideration". These are to be made available under the SAARC SWAP facility. The RBI has agreed to provide the funds under its SAARC (South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation) Swap Facility, the Central Bank said.

Analysts said the RBI's assistance would be much appreciated by Sri Lanka given that the island is still recovering from the political and constitutional crisis in October and November which had an adverse impact on the economy with poor investor sentiment and foreign outflows of capital. Available Central Bank data showed that in 2018, foreign investors had pulled out a net Rupees 22.8 billion out of stocks, and Rupees 159.8 billion from government securities. The Sri Lankan rupee ended last Thursday at an all-time low of 183 against the US dollar. The rupee fell 19% in 2018, making it one of the worst-performing currencies in Asia.

Central Bank Governor Indrajith Coomaraswamy last week said that the nearly two-month long political crisis had an adverse impact on the country's economy. Due to the political crisis, the big three credit rating agencies -- Fitch Ratings, Standard & Poor's (S&P) and Moody's -- downgraded Sri Lanka's sovereign rating.

President Maithripala Sirisena's dramatic move on October 26 to sack Prime Minister Ranil Wickremesinghe and install former strongman Mahinda Rajapaksa in his place following differences over policy issues, left the country without a functioning government for nearly two months. However, a Supreme court verdict forced Sirisena to reinstate Wickremesinghe. The Central Bank also announced that Finance Minister Mangala Samaraweera will visit Washington  next week to resume negotiations on the IMF's assistance.

The IMF had held back discussions on Lanka's next loan tranche due to the political impasse. After completion of the IMF's fifth review Lanka would expect to receive a sixth tranche of about USD 250 million. The total loan was expected to have been disbursed with a seventh tranche by mid-2019. Sri Lanka is hoping to complete a 3-year programme with the IMF this year. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Hopes Of US-China Trade Breakthrough Lift Global Stocks-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Contact Your Financial Adviser Money Making MC

09 January 2019



 
Financial Markets (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)



Share prices around the world surged further Wednesday amid hopes the U.S. and China are on course to resolve their trade dispute following three days of discussions in Beijing.

KEEPING SCORE: In Europe, Germany's DAX added 1.1 percent to 10,919 while the CAC 40 in France climbed 1.2 percent to 4,832. Britain's FTSE 100 jumped 1.1 percent to 6,935. Wall Street looked set for more gains, with Dow futures and the broader S&P 500 futures up 0.2 percent.

CHINA-US TRADE: This week's buoyancy in stock markets has been largely due to rising hopes of a resolution between the U.S. and China over their trade dispute. After three days of discussion, President Donald Trump tweeted that the talks had been "going very well!" a potential positive sign even though no major developments had been announced. Experts say it may take months to resolve the causes of the trade war, which include disagreements over Beijing's handling of technology and intellectual property.

ANALYST TAKE: "The length and intensity of these talks seem to portray a new, more resolute approach from both sides which raises hopes that there could finally be some light at the end of the tunnel," said Joshua Mahony, senior market analyst at IG. "It is unlikely that this week will see any complete resolution to the differences between both sides, yet some form of progress on the trade side of things would no doubt provide a further boost for depressed markets."

FED MINUTES: Minutes to the last meeting of the Federal Reserve, at which interest rates were raised again, will be of interest later in the session. At the December meeting, the Fed's rate-setting panel reduced its forecasts for the number of hikes this year from three to two. Markets have gone further following recent comments from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell. Many now think the Fed will stand pat for the rest of this year amid waning economic growth and the slide in U.S. stocks.

ASIA'S DAY: Japan's Nikkei 225 index gained 1.1 percent to 20,427.06 and Hong Kong's Hang Seng jumped 2.3 percent to 26,462.32. The Shanghai Composite index surged 1.0 percent to 2,544.34 while South Korea's Kospi advanced 2.0 percent to 2,064.71.

ENERGY: Oil prices also continued to rally. U.S. crude rose $1.05 to $50.83 per barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude, used to price international oils, added $1.06 to $59.78 per barrel in London.

CURRENCIES: The euro was up 0.1 percent at $1.1456 while the dollar rose 0.1 percent to 108.91 yen.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Tuesday, 8 January 2019

Nifty, Sensex Continue to Rise – Tuesday closing report-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


Contact Your Financial Adviser Money Making MC
08 January 2019

I had mentioned in Monday’s closing report that Nifty, Sensex were continuing to be bullish. The major indices of the Indian stock markets were range-bound on Tuesday and closed with small gains over Monday’s close. On the NSE, there were 829 advances, 896 declines and 341 unchanged. The trends of the major indices in the course of Tuesday’s trading are given in the table below:


Caution ahead of the outcome of ongoing US-China trade talks and Q3 corporate earning session kept the major indices in a short range on Tuesday. Sensex and Nifty logged marginal gains during the afternoon session. The US-China trade talks assume special significance as analysts say both sides face a resumption of tariffs in March if they don't strike a deal. The two economic giants agreed on a 90-day trade truce in early December. Also, Q3 corporate earning session starting this week kept the investors from taking position. On the domestic front, RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das will meet representatives of Non-Banking Financial Companies (NBFC) on Tuesday pushing the banking stocks 0.82% higher. In contrast, consumer durable and power sectors traded lower but the finance stocks managed to stay in the green.

Most of the central government offices, banks, port trusts and other state government departments wore a deserted look on Tuesday as employees launched a two-day nationwide trade strike, a top organiser said here in Mumbai.

Bandhan Bank on Monday said its board of directors has approved merger of GRUH Finance Limited into the lender. On Tuesday, Bandhan Bank shares closed at Rs479.70, down 3.68% on the NSE. Gruh Finance shares closed at Rs255.50, down16.60% on the NSE.

The Delhi High Court set aside a Central government notification restricting the manufacture, sale and distribution of an anti-inflammatory medicine manufactured by pharma company Wockhardt Ltd. Ace Proxyvon, a medicine manufactured by Wockhardt Ltd was part of the 328 Fixed Dose Combination (FDC) drugs whose manufacture, distribution and sale was banned by the Ministry of Health and Family Welfare in September last year. Ace Proxyvon, which combines the dosage of aceclofenac, paracetamol and rabeprazole, is used to get relief from pain and inflammation associated with rheumatoid arthritis, osteoarthritis and ankylosing spondylitis. The high court observed that the Centre's decision to ban the drug had been taken without application of mind and order was passed without following certain procedures. Wockhardt shares closed at Rs513.70, up 1.42% on the BSE.

US stocks closed higher in volatile trading as investors digested key economic data. The Dow Jones Industrial Average on Monday increased 98.19 points, or 0.42%, to 23,531.35. The S&P 500 was up 17.75 points, or 0.70%, to 2,549.69. The Nasdaq Composite Index increased 84.61 points, or 1.26%, to 6,823.47. On the data front, the US services sector expanded at a slower-than-expected pace in December. The Institute for Supply Management said its non-manufacturing index stood at 57.6 last month, lower than analysts' estimate and the figure in November.

On Friday, Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell hinted at slower monetary tightening. He said Fed officials were keeping a close eye on the voices of financial market, and that Fed policy was flexible and clung to real-time economic developments. He added that the central bank would not hesitate to adjust its balance sheet reduction plan if it causes problems in the markets. The Fed hiked interest rates for four times last year. Its rate hike pace, considered too rapid by some investors, has rattled the market.

The top gainers and top losers of the major indices are given in the table below:


The closing values of the major Asian indices are given in the table below:

Major Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)