Tuesday, 31 January 2017

Nifty bulls wait for Budget signals – Tuesday closing report-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Contact Your Financial Adviser Money Making MC
31 January 2017

I had mentioned in Monday’s closing report that Nifty, Sensex were likely to remain range-bound. The major indices of the Indian stock markets suffered a correction on Tuesday and closed 0.70%-0.83% lower than Monday’s close. NSE trading volumes were on the higher side on Tuesday. The trends of the major indices in the course of Tuesday’s trading are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Major Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


On the NSE, on Tuesday, there were 384 advances, 1,243 declines and 283 unchanged. On the BSE, there were 828 advances, 1,897 declines, 220 unchanged. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


Caution ahead of the presentation of the Union Budget and negative global cues pulled the Indian equities markets lower on Tuesday. The Budget session started on Tuesday with President Pranab Mukherjee's address to a joint sitting of both houses of Parliament, along with Finance Minister Arun Jaitley tabling the Economic Survey for 2016-17. However, investors were worried about the political logjam over the recent demonetisation decision that could stall Parliament's proceedings. The key indices closed the day's trade in the red, as selling pressure was witnessed in stocks of IT (information technology), oil and gas, and healthcare stocks.

The Economic Survey 2016-17 has advocated fast remonetisation, a cut in tax rates and stamp duties and reining in over-zealous tax administration to make India the world's fastest growing major economy again. The survey, tabled in Parliament by Finance Minister Arun Jaitley, said demonetisation has had short-term costs but holds the potential for long-term benefits. But it would require follow-up actions to minimise the costs and maximise the benefits. "These actions would allow growth to return to trend in 2017-18, possibly making it the fastest-growing major economy in the world, following a temporary dip in 2016-17," the survey stated. The bulls are likely to gain from this approach, as macroeconomic growth and bullish market sentiments are interlinked. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


Indian IT (information technology) stocks tumbled during the mid-afternoon trade session on Tuesday as the US government introduced a proposed visa reform bill in the US House of Representatives. The bill spooked investors, as it seeks to double the minimum wages offered by IT firms in the US. The bill proposes to raise the minimum salary of an H-1B visa holder to around $130,000 per annum from the present limit of $60,000 per year.  The S&P BSE IT index plunged by 302.71 points or 3.06% (at 2.15 p.m.). IT majors such as Tata Consultancy Services (TCS), Infosys, HCL Technologies, Wipro and Tech Mahindra traded deep in the red. Every 10% hike in H-1B salaries can hurt earnings by nearly 10%-12% of IT companies, pointed out market analysts. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


The Economic Survey 2016-17 tabled in Parliament on Tuesday by Finance Minister Arun Jaitley has mooted the formation of a centralised public sector asset rehabilitation agency (PARA). According to the survey, the country is grappling with a 'Twin Balance Sheet' (TBS) problem of over-leveraged companies and bad loan-encumbered banks, a legacy of the boom years around the global financial crisis. "So far, there has been limited success. The problem has consequently continued to fester: Non-performing assets (NPAs) of the banking system (and especially public sector banks) keep increasing, while credit and investment keep falling," the survey said. "Now it is time to consider a different approach -- a centralised PARA that could take charge of the largest, most difficult cases, and make politically-tough decisions to reduce debt." As per the survey, gross NPAs have climbed to almost 12% of gross advances for public sector banks at end-September 2016. This is likely to improve share prices of PSUs (public sector undertakings) listed in the Indian stock exchanges.

The government has taken several initiatives to provide healthcare to all, including an immunisation programme that helped 55 lakh children, President Pranab Mukherjee said on Tuesday. Mukherjee told a joint session of Parliament that the government aimed to make healthcare affordable for the poor. "Mission Indradhanush ... has so far helped 55 lakh children get immunised against several diseases. It commits to vaccinate every child everywhere against preventable diseases," he said. The President spoke about the Pradhan Mantri Jan Aushadhi Scheme that helped healthcare and medicines reach the poorest sections of the society. Pharmaceutical industry stocks are likely to benefit from the favourable government policy.

Dabur India Ltd. posted a drop of 7.5% in net profit for the October-December quarter. Net profit fell to Rs293.76 crore from Rs317.58 crore during the same quarter last year, the company said in a stock exchange filing. Revenue declined by 6% in the quarter, to Rs1,852.91 crore, compared to Rs1,972.03 crore on a year-on-year basis. Currency fluctuations and rising costs of key inputs led to a decline in revenue. Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) were down 11.6% to Rs333.88 crore, compared to Rs377.81 crore during the third quarter of FY16. EBITDA margin dropped to 18% as against 19.2% last year. The company’s shares closed at Rs276.00, down 1.39% on the NSE.

The top gainers and top losers of the major indices are given in the table below:
 
Top Gainer (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

The closing values of the major Asian indices are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Asian Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

Monday, 30 January 2017

Vodafone, Idea in merger talks for telco with 400 mn users -The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Contact Your Financial Adviser Money Making MC
30 January 2017

Ending months of speculation, Vodafone on Monday confirmed it is in talks with the Aditya Vikram Birla group for the merger of its Indian entity and Idea Cellular in what will be the largest such deal in the country's telecom space once it materialises. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The merger will create an entity with a subscriber base of more than 400 million to emerge as the largest player in India, replacing the current dominant player Bharti Airtel, which currently has over 260 million users on its network. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"Vodafone confirms that it is in discussions with the Aditya Birla Group about an all share merger of Vodafone India -- excluding Vodafone's 42 per cent stake in Indus Towers -- and Idea," the Indian entity's parent company said in a statement.

"Any merger would be effected through the issue of new shares in Idea to Vodafone and would result in Vodafone deconsolidating Vodafone India." The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

In a clarification later, Idea Cellular said it is in preliminary discussions with Vodafone.

"In view of the fact that the discussion is at the preliminary stage, the company is not in a position to share any further details," Idea Cellular said in a regulatory filing. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions 
"However, it is important to mention that the fundamental premise of preliminary discussion is based on equal rights between Aditya Birla Group and Vodafone in the combined entity," the company added.

Vodafone India has over 200 million subscribers, with a presence in all the 22 circles the country has been divided into. It intends to have 4G services in 17 circles, covering 2,400 towns, by the end of this fiscal. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Idea, on the other hand, says it has a similar subscriber base, also with a presence in all the 22 circles. It intends to have 4G services in 20 circles by"March 2017.

"Given the financial pressure and dynamics in the telecom sector consolidation is imperative. It is good for both industr" and consumers," Rajan S. Mathews, Director General, Cellular Operators' Association of India told IANS. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Mathews said the merged entity of Vodafone and Idea Cellular will have 43 per cent of the revenue market share. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"The merger confirms the trend towards consolidation. It shows that the companies recognise the nature and size of the challenge posed to their businesses by Jio. This will help both companies to improve their competitiveness," Mahesh Uppal, Director, telecom consultancy firm Com First told IANS.

"Going forward there will be a reduction in number of players to four and consequently a decrease in the competition in the sector. This is not necessarily good for consumers in the short term. In the medium term, these consolidations will make the sector a bit a more stable," he added.

Both Vodafone India and Idea have to figure out their long term business strategy and merger could well be the path, given current industry competitiveness and dynamics, said Amresh Nandan, Research Direct"r, Gartner. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"As per our recent note, we believe that a potential Idea and Vodafone merger could make strategic sense. However, the merger would result in the combined entity facing practical implementation issues, the most significant of them could be the cost associated with liberalizing the spectrum. The combined entity would also breach spectrum caps in 5 circles, the market value of which comes t" Rs 75 billion," said Bank of America Merrill Lynch. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Industry speculation over a possible merger has been doing the rounds for nearly a year and intensified after Reliance Jio entered the market with its mega voice and data offer, with an announcement that voice will be free on its network for life. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

But the Aditya Vikram Birla Group had scoffed at media reports suggesting merger talks in their regulatory filings with the stock exchanges, though analysts found a lot of synergies in such a move.

Earlier this month, JP Morgan spoke about the merits of such a merger.

"This could unlock more than $9 billion in potential synergies and offer an elegant route to deconsolidating India, thereby helping focus (Vodafone's) attention back onto a rebounding European equity story," the top investment banker said. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

As regards Idea, it said, in the migration towards free voice regime, the company stands to be the most vulnerable. Idea has a higher of rural and semi-urban subscribers, who are not as data-hungry as the creamy users in metros and cities, where it has a relatively limited presence.

Analysts also maintained that the initial public offering by Vodafone India did not make sense.

"We believe an elegant alternative would be for Vodafone to reverse merge into locally listed peer Idea (a deal that offers Idea a solution to their mounting balance sheet challenges)," JM Morgan said.

Idea Cellular's stock prices spurt at the merger talks announcement. Its stocks closed at Rs 97.95 per share up by 25.90 per cent at the closing time of the BSE.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


Current Accounts curbs go, ATMs to follow -The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Contact Your Financial Adviser Money Making MC
30 January 2017

The RBI on Monday ended all curbs on withdrawals from Current Accounts, Cash Credit Accounts and Overdraft Accounts with immediate effect. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

A Reserve Bank of India notification said limits on ATM withdrawals will also go from Wednesday.

But the curbs on Savings Bank accounts across the counter will remain.

"On a review of the pace of remonetisation, it has been decided to partially restore status quo ante," the RBI said. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"Limits placed vide the circulars cited above on cash withdrawals from Current accounts/ Cash credit accounts/ Overdraft accounts stand withdrawn with immediate effect.

"The limits on Savings Bank accounts will continue for the present and are under consideration for withdrawal in the near future," it added. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The limits were placed following the November 8 demonetisation of Rs1,000 and Rs500 notes. The upper limit at ATMs was just Rs2,500 initially, and later it was raised to Rs4,500.

Earlier this month, the RBI had hiked the daily ATM withdrawal limit from Rs4,500 to Rs10,000 and doubled the weekly Current Account withdrawal limit to Rs1 lakh.

The upper limit for weekly withdrawal from bank accounts had been raised to Rs24,000 from Rs20,000 in November. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


While lifting of ATM withdrawal limits from February 1 will represent coming full circle for these machines in respect of demonetisation, it is to be seen whether the amount of cash supplied by RBI will be able to satisfy the demand of citizens in future.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Volkswagen dislodges Toyota as world's largest automaker -The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Contact Your Financial Adviser Money Making MC
30 January 2017

Toyota Motors lost its title as the highest selling automaker in 2016 to German carmaker Volkswagen, a position the Japanese company had enjoyed since 2011, the media reported. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

According to figures published on Monday by the Toyota group, which includes its subsidiaries Daihatsu Motor and Hino Motors, the company sold a total of 10.175 million units in 2016, Efe news reported. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Although the figure is 0.2 per cent higher than 2015, it is lower than Volkswagen's 10.3 million units (growth of around 3.8 per cent) sold in 2016 despite the German manufacturer's recent emissions scandal. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The last time Toyota was world's No. 2 annual car seller was in 2011, when Japan's northeastern part was struck by an earthquake and a tsunami, severely affecting the firm's operations and cutting significantly its supply chains. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


Toyota was also trailing Volkswagen in the first half 2015. However, Volkswagen's emissions scandal in September severely affected its last quarter sales. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Jan Dhan deposits rose Rs 29,000 cr in month post-note ban -The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Contact Your Financial Adviser Money Making MC
30 January 2017

Total deposits in Jan Dhan accounts surged by nearly Rs 29,000 crore in the period of a month since the November 8 announcement demonetising high value currency notes, according to the latest official data released here. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Total deposits in Jan Dhan accounts rose by around Rs 28,973 crore to a record high of Rs 74,610 crore on December 7, shows latest Finance Ministry data. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Thereafter, during the period December 7 to January 11, total deposits have came down by Rs 5,582.83 crore. AS on January 11, total deposits in such accounts amounted to Rs 69,027.17 crore. 

There are currently about 26.68 crore Jan Dhan accounts. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Following demonetisation, the monthly upper withdrawal limit for Jan Dhan accounts has been fixed at Rs 10,000 per month from November 30 to check misuse of these accounts. The upper limit for deposits in such accounts is Rs 50,000. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

An official statement earlier this month had said deposits in Jan Dhan accounts have grown by more than 50 per cent since the demonetisation announcement. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"As on December 21, deposits worth Rs 71,557.90 crore had been mobilsed under the Pradhan Mantri Jan Dhan Yojana (PMJDY)" and that this scheme for financial inclusion had succeeded in opening over 26 crore accounts, said a Finance Ministry statement. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The Income Tax Department has earlier reported that total deposits amounted to Rs 45,637 crore on November 9, the day from which Rs 1,000 and Rs 500 notes ceased to be legal tender, in a move designed by the government to eliminate black money, counterfeit currency and terror financing.

As on the eighth day after the announcement, aggregate deposits in Jan Dhan accounts had increased to Rs 64,252.15 crore, Parliament was told during the last winter session. 

The government had, on November 18, warned account holders on not allowing misuse of Jan Dhan accounts for laundering black money post-demonetisation and in its wake, inflows into such accounts had come down significantly, it has said. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

In a release early in December, the Finance Ministry said there has been a continuous fall in deposits, after an initial surge post November 8. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Total amounts deposited during November 8-15 were Rs 20,206 crore, while during November 16-22, people deposited Rs 11,347 crore in such accounts. This further fell to Rs 4,867 crore during November 23-30. Total daily deposit in Jan Dhan accounts was Rs 410 crore on December 1 and Rs 389 crore on December 2. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


"The Income Tax Department has identified the local clusters and bank branches where the inflow of Jan Dhan deposits have been more than normal, in order to investigate money deposits in Jan Dhan accounts which belonged to somebody else," an official statement said.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Nifty, Sensex to remain range-bound – Monday closing report-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Contact Your Financial Adviser Money Making MC
30 January 2017

The major indices of the Indian stock markets were range-bound on Monday and closed with marginal losses over Friday’s close. The trends of the major indices in the course of Monday’s trading are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
 
Major Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

Hopes of budgetary sops and a strong rupee buoyed the Indian equities markets during the mid-afternoon trade session on Monday. The key indices have traded on a flat-to-positive note on Monday, as buying was witnessed in the telecom, healthcare and Teck (technology, media and entertainment) stocks. The BSE market breadth was marginally tilted in favour of the bears -- with 1,349 declines and 1,220 advances. The markets traded in the range-bound territory ahead of the Union Budget on February 1, pointed out market analysts. Markets were expecting weak numbers from the corporates following demonetisation. However, the numbers were better-than-expected. This might be the reason for the upward trend in the Indian rupee, observed market analysts. However, the major indices slipped in the later afternoon and the key indices closed in the red for the day, over Friday’s close. On the NSE, there were 659 advances, 972 declines and 293 unchanged on Monday. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Housing finance major Housing Development Finance Corporation (HDFC) on Monday reported a rise of 11.88% in its standalone net profit for the third quarter (Q3) of 2016-17. According to the company, its standalone net profit grew to Rs1,701.21 crore during the quarter under review from Rs1,520.51 crore reported for the like period of last fiscal. The company's standalone total income from operations (net) rose by 11.95% to Rs8,137.18 crore during the quarter under review. The company’s shares closed at Rs1,368.90, down  0.13% on the BSE. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Ending months of speculation, Vodafone on Monday confirmed it is in talks with the Aditya Vikram Birla group for the merger of its Indian entity and Idea Cellular in what will be the largest such deal in the country's telecom space once it materialises. The merger will create an entity with a subscriber base of more than 400 million to emerge as the largest player in India, replacing the current dominant player Bharti Airtel, which currently has over 260 million users on its network. "Vodafone confirms that it is in discussions with the Aditya Birla Group about an all share merger of Vodafone India -- excluding Vodafone's 42% stake in Indus Towers -- and Idea," the Indian entity's parent company said in a statement. "Any merger would be effected through the issue of new shares in Idea to Vodafone and would result in Vodafone deconsolidating Vodafone India." In a clarification later, Idea Cellular said it is in preliminary discussions with Vodafone. "In view of the fact that the discussion is at the preliminary stage, the company is not in a position to share any further details," Idea Cellular said in a regulatory filing. Idea shares closed at Rs97.95, up 25.90% on the BSE. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Industrialist Anil Ambani-led Reliance Reliance Defence on Monday said it has signed a contract with the Ministry of Defence for the design and construction of 14 Fast Patrol Vessels for the Indian Coast Guard valued at Rs916 crore, the company said on Monday. These ships are medium range, high speed vessels, and primarily used for patrol within the exclusive economic zone, costal surveillance, and anti-smuggling, anti-piracy, search and rescue operations. They also support front-line warships in the hour of need. Virtually all the private sector and public sector Shipyards had bid for the project, including Larsen and Toubro, Cochin Shipyard, Goa Shipyard, and Garden Reach Shipbuilders and Engineers. "This is the first time, a private sector shipyard has been awarded a contract to design and build such class of ships for the Indian armed forces. Reliance Defence will be developing the design in-house," a regulatory filing by the company said. The company’s shares closed at Rs61.80, up 7.95% on the BSE. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The top gainers and top losers of the major indices are given in the table below:

Top Gainer (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


The closing values of the major Asian indices are given in the table below:The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Asian Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

Saturday, 28 January 2017